Date: 10-30-2007
From: James Lambert
To: Mary Lynn Tischer , Kimberly Spence , Wayne Ferguson , John Miller
cc: Matthew Schroeder , Megan Kersh , Asad Saqib , Ward Williams
Subject: scenario-based planning with the Multimodal Office
Attached Material: MultimodalPolicyScenarios103007.xls

Mary Lynn,
Thank you for your direction today in the conference call. Below is a summary of the outcomes. 

The project's website with this Excel workbook and other progress reports since August 2007 is www.virginia.edu/crmes/multimodal2

Regards,
Jim

1. In its present form, the Excel workbook is juxtaposing multimodal policies, VTrans performance/impact criteria, and long-range planning scenarios; issues needing attention are as follows;
2. Add consistency and meaningfulness  to the criteria assessments +1, 0, -1, moving toward a cost-savings, ROI,  cost-effectiveness, or similar metric;
3. Consider how better to represent the influence of scenarios to criteria weights, and/or the influence of scenarios to criteria assessments; as bonus points or relative importance or both;
4. Add the feature to change stakeholder point of view, e.g., a particular region or corridor, time horizon, or other stakeholder interest;
5. Recognize the hierarchy of policies to corridors to objectives; add a worksheet for it [see VTrans2025 reports];
6. Identify the variety of uses of the results, e.g., policy-to-policy comparisons, policy sensitivity to scenario, scenario-to-scenario comparisons, stakeholder to stakeholder comparisons, horizon-to-horizon comparisons, corridor-to-corridor comparisons, region-to-region, etc.
7. Prepare to report to the multimodal technical committee or a subcommittee at the direction of Dr. Tischer; the Commission on Virginia's Future finished its work, the inception of a new long-range planning process [VTrans2030?] is pending.

James H. Lambert, P.E., D.WRE, Ph.D.; Associate Director, Center for Risk Management of Engineering Systems; Research Associate Professor, Department of Systems and Information Engineering; University of Virginia; PO Box 400747; 112C Olsson Hall, 151 Engineers Way; Charlottesville, VA 22904, USA; ; (434)982-2072/924-0960; fax 924-0865; home 979-4490; www.virginia.edu/crmes

On Oct 30, 2007, at 11:21 AM, James H. Lambert wrote:

> Mary Lynn,
> Attached is a draft Excel workbook the purpose of which is to compare the relative impacts of multimodal policies under various long-range planning scenarios.
>
> We would like to practice describing this early draft to you today and seek some feedback and direction.
>
> We expect to give you a call shortly after 2:15pm today Tuesday 10/30/07. It would be helpful to have the workbook open on your computer.
>
> Thanks and regards,
> Jim
>
>
> James H. Lambert, P.E., D.WRE, Ph.D.; Associate Director, Center for Risk Management of Engineering Systems; Research Associate Professor, Department of Systems and Information Engineering; University of Virginia; PO Box 400747; 112C Olsson Hall, 151 Engineers Way; Charlottesville, VA 22904, USA; ; (434)982-2072/924-0960; fax 924-0865; home 979-4490; www.virginia.edu/crmes
>
>