|
Entrepreneurship
and Wealth Creation
Session
Two: Growth Strategies
Friday,
November 12, 1999
3:30-5p.m.
Ted
Snyder: Welcome everybody, and welcome to the Darden School
and to the University of Virginia. I'm Ted Snyder, Dean of the School.
I also wanted to say welcome to the people elsewhere in the School.
I understand that we've got multiple classroom that are all filled
up right now. I also wanted to welcome our audience on the web.
Not to beat a dead horse, but I can't wait until we get that new
auditorium . We've had a great day already and many of you know
that I think about wins for the school and for the University and
we've already had two. It may be a little bit confusing to the web
audience because the session that we just finished will be shown
after this one, but this next session will make it a trifecta for
today, and the session itself is on entrepreneurship and wealth
creation in the digital age.
We've
got another great group of people. I wanted to thank again our students.
Darden and the University of Virginia pride itself on being student-centered
which means the students do a lot of the work, and I wanted to thank
in particular the Technology Club and the Entrepreneurship Club
and turn it over to the president of the Entrepreneur's Club, Chris
Duffus.
Christian
Duffus: Thank you. Thanks again for coming out today. I think
this is a phenomenal opportunity. If UVA were going to be going
public today, I think we'd have a valuation of a couple billion
dollars. This panel, again, is "Entrepreneurship and Wealth Creation"--
entrepreneurship in the digital age, the opportunities and the challenges.
We're going to take on a similar format to the previous panel and
without further ado, I guess I would like to introduce our panelists
here. We have Doug Lebda of the LendingTree. Allen Morgan of the
Mayfield Fund. Dean Johnson of ValueAmerica and Frank Batten, Jr.,
of Landmark Communications and Marco Protano of the CoolAudio. Again,
each of the panelists will be going into a little bit about themselves
and their companies and then we're going to open it up to questions
with Patty Sellers. Thank you, and Doug--
Douglas
M. Lebda: It really is a pleasure -- I actually left Darden
midway through the two years. I left after my first year to start
Lending Tree, so instead of the hot seat, we'll call this the hat
seat. The dean promised me a degree in exchange for wearing this
hat during this session [laughter/applause]. Just to go into a little
bit about what Lending Tree is and how we started. Lending Tree
is a loan marketplace that connects consumers to a network of lenders
who compete for their business. The company was founded after my
own frustration about 3_ years ago trying to get a mortgage loan
for a $60,000 condominium that I was buying in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Basically I went through what most people go through. You have to
open the newspaper, shop for interest rates, pick a lender and then
apply for one loan with one lender. It's a process that leaves you
feeling out of control, feeling disempowered, disillusioned, and
extremely frustrated, so the question I asked was why can't I just
put my information some place and then have lenders access that
who want to approve borrowers like me and then make me competitive
offers and I can compare offers and pick the offer that works the
best.
I did
what most people do. I started writing checks for the venture and
went out and for a marketplace business, I had to go sign up banks
which was a tortuous 3_ years ago. They were not at all ready for
this. None of them had web sites. If they did, it was basically
a one-page brochure and for us to say we're going to transmit loan
applications directly into your underwriting systems, get back approvals,
and this is all going to happen on line, that was quite a tough
sell.
I spent
a year at Darden and during that time, I wrote a business plan.
It was really the best year of my life. I would go to class from
8:00 in the morning until 1:00 in the afternoon, spend from 1:00
to about 6:00 p.m. working on Lending Tree trying to write a business
plan, trying to put together some of our first investors, doing
things that literally had three phone lines in our apartment. Would
answer the phone. My wife was helping out. She'd answer the phone,
Doug Lebda's office and they'd say, "is Mr. Lebda in?" She's say,
"one moment, please," and she'd hand me the phone working at the
desk. We used to have a photocopy delivery, photocopy sales people.
We learned very early that they'll actually lend you a copier for
two weeks at a time to try out, so every two weeks we'd get a new
photocopier , and we did that. We'd have four burley
guys
bringing in one while four burley guys took one away. Our neighbors
didn't know what was going on here . It was a lot of fun.
Today,
Lending Tree is a 100 people. We just passed the 100-person mark
this week. Actually, we hired several of my classmates who're working
with us, a few of whom are here today and it's company with a 100
people really focused on the mission which is to give consumers
choice and empower them in their loan transactions. We get over
3,000 loan applications every day across all consumer credit categories.
We have over 95 lenders operating on our network. We are the only
loan marketplace. We have other competitors out there, but they
all lend money. There's nobody just making a match and so we'll
talk a little bit about marketplace companies and that's something
that I think is great on the Internet.
Last
month, the month of October, we closed over $110 million worth of
loans on the site, closed over 4,000 loans all credit types. We
used to close-- At the beginning of the year, if we did 100 loans
a month, it was a great month and used to have to try to tell stories
to make ourselves sound bigger and hopefully by the end of the year,
we're going to be largest loan originator on the Internet compared
to anyone else out there.
A little
advice-- I was asked to give a little advice to MBA students and
I would just say for people who are considering whether or not to
start a venture, try to see, try to get into a different mindset
and this really goes for anybody starting a venture, whether you're
in school or whether you're working some place else, whether you've
been out of a school for a number of years. Really, start examining
upsides and downsides differently. For me, I was going through the
interview process during the first year and was doing very well,
and once I realized that my downside of starting my own venture
was that I'm not going to make $7,000 a month working for Bank of
America and my down side is $15,000 that I'm going to make in the
summer and my upside is unlimited because I can actually change
the world, create a new company, do something amazing. That really
changed my mindset, and then once I was sitting after that summer
and said, okay, do I go back to school and try to get a job with
a big consulting firm or do I do this. I had a similar type of analysis
to make. I said, gosh, you can make a $100,000 a year out of Darden.
Well,
okay, so you're going to give up a little of that, but at the same
time, the upside is unlimited and then you realize that people who
fail are actually better suited in the marketplace anyway than people,
if you had to come back and get another job, so there really is
no downside to somebody who wants to start a venture, especially
in today's marketplace, so I would just challenge people to think
about that because it really really is fun and we just have an incredible
time doing what we're doing.
To
talk about my view of the Internet and where things are going--the
Internet is really friction-free capitalism and for somebody like
myself who is not a big fan of government, is not a big fan of large
corporations, really likes the aspect of having lenders competing
for the consumers' business and really what that means to them and
how excited they get when they're getting offers and banks are begging
for their business instead of the other way around. We love friction-free
capitalism.
Everything
on the Internet becomes commoditized very quickly. If you're selling
a good or a service, it is going to become a commodity and we are
seeing it now with the loan process. We have big banks that tell
us that brand matters. Brand doesn't matter. The consumers especially
with something like a bank where the banks view their brands as
very important, in actuality consumers views the bank's brand as
somewhat intrusive and not necessarily a place that they put of
lot trust in, so everything gets commoditized very quickly. It's
very very difficult to make money on the Internet selling a good.
My
view of the Internet is that what's going to win, the companies
that are going to create long-term sustainable competitive advantage
are marketplace companies or exchanges, but over the long term,
that's what really wins, and to succeed on the Internet, I really
think you need three things. You need paranoia which you heard a
lot about today. You need an incredible amount of focus because
there are constantly things that you can do to take you off of your
course, and the last thing you need is tenacity. There'll be hundreds
of people that tell you it'll never work, that tell you it's going
to take too long, there's too many competitors.
We
launched our site. Microsoft Home Advisor came out. I mean, gosh,
Microsoft and Intuit are in our space. I can remember, I did the
business plan competition here at Darden, left and a guy in the
room said, oh yeah, I worked at Intuit last year. They're working
on this. And you think you can't compete against people like that
when in actuality you can if you do it differently.
I'd
like to talk just a little bit about marketplaces and what we see
as the competitive advantage. A lot of talk about business to business
and business to consumer. I think that's a bad way to look at it.
I think it's better to look at it--do I sell a product or do I make
a match or make an exchange. For example, any marketplace, be it
a business to business, be it a business to consumer marketplace
like we are, or even a consumer to consumer marketplace, like eBay,
those are very high margin businesses and people refer to them as
a vortex business because each side you get buyers and sellers and
they come together and they start to feed on itself, and we think
those are really the ways to have companies that are really going
to have long-term, sustainable advantage.
You
see something similar with community sites where the last panel
had a lot of those, where you get people coming on and then you
can attract more advertisers which attracts more people which attracts
more advertisers, and you basically are making a match instead of
selling a good and I think it's going to be difficult long term
on the Internet to make money by selling something to anybody, and
if you are making a product and selling it to a business, they're
going to have the same thing because the barriers to entry are fundamentally
low, and we really like companies and we think that we have a long-term
view of this, that companies that make markets are really what are
going to be the long-term winners on the Internet.
Allen
Morgan: I'm Allen Morgan. I'm a partner at a Menlo Park-based
venture capital firm called the Mayfield Fund, and when I was planning
for this, I felt kind of conflicted because the sort of fashion
advice I got was business casual. But where I come from, business
causal means a polo shirt and long pants, if there're going to be
clients there and short pants if they're not, so I've been slowing
taking things off all day and I was told to wear a coat and tie
but I promise I'll stop here .
Mayfield
is a 30-year-old which makes it the oldest continuously operating
fund along the infamous stretch of Menlo Park called Sandhill Road
and Mayfield today invests in 3_ areas--health care technology.
There's still a couple of partners barely sort of trudging on in
that area. Most of us are focused on Internet companies of one kind
or another, and four of the partners, either all or some of their
time, focus on communications technologies.
I thought
what I might do is briefly go into how the Internet has changed
the way we look at and interact with companies once we've invested
with them. In the good old days, it was typical for companies that
succeeded to go public and four or five years after they were founded
and the typical trajectory they were on would be to start with a
technology, spend a couple of years developing the technology. Towards
the end of that period, start thinking about hiring some marketing
people and when the technology was finished, you'd actually hire
sales people, and that usually took two to three years.
Today's
market is probably exemplified by, or as well as I can exemplify
it, by a company that I'm an investor in and on the board of called
Varsity Books which is not too far from here, and the company was
founded just about 14 months ago and just about three or four weeks
ago, filed to go public and in that time they went from being represented
on five campuses to over 250 seriously represented. They raised
in that time about $50 million and the company's got 120 employees.
I'm an active board member, you can tell , Varsity Books is typical
for an Internet business that we look at these days.
The
second thing I would point out is I do think that selling things
on the Internet is a tricky business. Varsity Books people think
of it as an on-line college textbook store, but what it really is
is information and marketing channel to the college demographic
and books, simply because the traditional way you buy textbooks
in college is such an awful experience, was, if you will, the grappling
hook that the company shot up to hook onto the wall that they were
going to scale, but the long-term pressures on margins in selling
things is very tough, so those of you considering your own Internet
businesses, if you're going to sell things, make sure that you have
a strategy beyond things.
Dean
Johnson: I've had the opportunity to be instrumental in the
founding of two businesses here in Charlottesville which I consider
myself quite lucky. One, in 1991 and another in the last 1997 to
just recently time period. The first is there's a case in first
year marketing called Charlottesville Quality Cable. I don't know
whether they still teach it or not. It's a skimming versus penetration
case and I'll probably look like an idiot at the end , but at the
risk of that, I'll give you my two-minute dissertation on that,
but I want to compare that with the most recent company that I've
helped rise out of the primordial soup and that's a company called
Value America which sells stuff on the Internet.
Charlottesville
Quality Cable, for those of you who didn't read the case, was about
a company that was going to provide cable television service where
cable television service doesn't exist and to compete with existing
cable television providers using radio frequency technologies, but
between the two I think is kind of instructive. It illustrates a
little bit about the power of the Internet. It illustrates a little
bit about the maturity of the capital markets. It illustrates a
lot about the bravery in my judgment about the capital markets.
The
market that I was shooting for in Charlottesville Quality Cable
was Charlottesville and any place I go could get licenses from the
FCC. At Value America, an Internet company virtually, the United
States if not the world is your oyster in that. The margins, the
gross margins, in the cable company are pretty healthy--around 60%
after you've paid the programmers.
At
Value America, we crowed to Wall Street last quarter because we
had achieved a 6% gross margin and 4% of that 6% came off of product
sales, so we managed to sell something for a dollar that we bought
for 96 cents.
There
were significant constraints at Charlottesville Quality Cable. One
of the most important was capital. This is 1991--the capital markets
weren't as mature back then. We had also had the difficulty of obtaining
licenses from the FCC and you talk about governmental regulation
in the Internet, well, the whole RF area is rife with government
regulation and that's something we had to face and we also had entrenched
interests. There was a monopoly out there called Cable Television
and this was flying right in the face of their monopolistic operation.
At
Value America, the challenge was to build a brand and to enter that
competition for eyeballs. How do you bring people to your site and
there are some entrenched interests. That is to say brands don't
want to turn their backs on existing brick and mortar distribution
to go to virtual distribution, but not anywhere nearly as great.
The
ownership that I was able to obtain in the first company was around
50%. I had a partner. The problem is if you have a partner, you
go from 100% to 50% and at Value America, if you don't found the
company, it's much more difficult to get a meaningful participation
there, so you pray that the pie gets very large because your little
sliver isn't going to increase dramatically if it doesn't.
The
capital that we tried to raise in 1991 for this idea was extremely
hard to acquire, but we did spend on things that had tangible value--on
capital assets, on PP&E, and we raised the princely sum of $3
million and felt that we were pretty doggone smart for having done
so. The capital for Value America was not easy to acquire. I had
to open checks that were coming to me in the mail, literally. We
raised $276 million in a period of 18 months. In November and December
of last year, we were closing $5 million deals every three days.
People had recognized that the Internet was something and that they
wanted to get in early and this was a pre-IPO company.
Having
said that, it was cheap but what did we do? Did we spend it on assets?
Absolutely not. We spent it on real estate in the Wall Street
Journal and in New York Times and ads and so it was an
entirely different characteristic. You can't compare night and day,
but I think you can see from what I'm saying there're some themes
you'd want. You want to have high margins. You'd want to own it
all. You'd want to have as few constraints as possible, be in an
easy capital market and have the United States, if not the world,
as your ability and really, if you have to fall down on one side
or the other, you really fall down on the Internet, but what do
these have in common. What I've always found and I don't want to
sound trite, but if you don't have a strong people in either area,
you're not going to succeed but you've got to create a culture,
at the risk of sounding like B.F. Skinner, you have to create a
culture or an environment for these people to succeed.
You've
got to create an environment that either you're going to do the
job or die trying, that people have a sense of urgency, and you,
at the leader, as the potential leader, have to have a fanatic dedication
to this because it provides an important leadership factor. There
will be some dark times, whether it's when you get sued by a rival
cable company or when Amazon triples their ad spending in the fourth
quarter, but people, employees, are going to look to you for your
leadership as well as your ability to pull on your own or lead by
example.
And,
lastly, risk taking. One of the things I've constantly emphasized
to people when they've come and interviewed and they say, well,
Value America or CQC or whatever, isn't fully baked yet. I'd really
like to go with a company that has all the systems in place and
has everything ready to go. The problem is that when you're competing
with a sense of urgency in a dynamic market, you have to be ready
to take that ship out to sea even while you're still constructing
it, with the hope that you're going to break ropes in the storm
and not a mast, so I think there're some little lessons to draw
on there, but I feel a little humble being on a panel of wealth
creation sitting next to Frank Batten , so I'll stop and we'll see
what he has to say. One of my great regrets is not being in his
study group. We were at Darden together.
Frank
Batten, Jr.: I'm the chairman of Landmark Communications. Landmark
is a privately-held diversified media company based in Norfolk.
The most well-known thing that we own is the Weather Channel. We
also own some other traditional media businesses, some TV stations
and newspapers and that sort of thing. On the Internet, we own Weather.com
which is the leading weather-related site. It's in the top sort
of 25 or 30 sites on the Internet in terms of traffic. We also have
some other investments. We own 25% of Autotrader.com which is the
leading used car site on the Internet and we also own about a fourth
of Bitters Edge which is an auction portal and auction aggregator,
and we have some other Internet investments that are in the works.
I thought
I'd talk a little bit today about Red Hat, which I get more questions
actually about Red Hat than I do about Landmark. As an individual
I was one of the first significant outside investors in Red Hat.
Two years ago I had the privilege and really sort of undeserved
privilege, I think, of being able to buy shares in Red Hat when
the company was valued at $4_ million and since then, since the
IPO and all that, the value's gone up a little bit since then.
______________:
Where are you taking us to dinner?
Batten:
Well, the lock up hasn't expired so , so a raincheck. I thought
I'd talk about sort-- A lot of people hade said, well, why is it
that you invested in Red Hat? What did you see in that? I talk about
my Darden experience was relevant to making that decision. When
I was at Darden, one of my favorite courses, and this doesn't seem
like what you'd think about talking about at this conference, was
operations, the whole factory management and that sort of thing,
and I'd gotten really interested in that and I was a liberal arts
major in undergraduate, but had sort of really loved the manufacturing
and the industrial engineering side of things and I really enjoyed
that.
Then
after Darden, based on sort of some seeds planted here, got really
interested in the Japanese manufacturing techniques and the Toyota
production system and all those sort of things, and of course, Japan
was really a big thing to think about back in the '80s, and I concluded
from that what the Japanese had or what Toyota had and other Japanese
companies had, was not so much better products but better processes.
They had better processes. Toyota, for example, better processes
for designing cars and then better processes for manufacturing cars,
and so when I saw the Red Hat opportunity and first met the Red
Hat folks back in January of '96 and ended up investing the summer
of '97, when I first saw and the open source of software development
model, which is that software can be freely shared and redistributed
and developed by people, software programmers all over the world,
sharing their work over the Internet, it really struck me that even
though Linux at the time was a much less powerful operations system
than Solaris and even the Windows antique, it really struck me that
that was fundamentally a better process for developing software
for designing and manufacturing software, if you think of it in
those terms, and so it really struck me that even though Linux was
not the greatest now, and I think that was why a number of venture
capital firms--
Evidently,
the Red Hat had called on a number of the leading venture capital
firms and had been turned down and I think the reason was that Linux
was really not seen as a great product at the time, as a great operating
system. But it struck me that it's sort of gone from zero to 30
miles an hour in just a couple of years, and that the process was
going to lead to a rate of improvement that was much faster than
the other operating systems and was soon going to surpass that and
plus, the price--free--is kind of hard to complete. It's hard to
get a better price than that. So, that's how open source, as a software
development model, would be a better process.
Then,
how does Red Hat sort of in an environment where pretty much anybody
can copy its products and put them out over their own name, how
does Red Hat distinguish itself from the other distributors of Linux?
And there was where my Darden marketing training came in and really,
the consumer marketing because Red Hat is really a branded product
and the power of the Red Hat brand was such that people really wanted
that sort of-- You could download Linux from anywhere or you could
buy very inexpensively from all sorts of people who put out CD-ROMs
saying this was a version of Linux, but it was something about that
Red Hat brand that made people say I want the trusted brand and
so my Darden marketing background that really sort of struck me
that the brand would work, and I still get lots of questions, well,
how do you make money selling free software? There's lot of people
who'd pay $1.00 for a bottle of Evian and the water inside doesn't
cost very much.
Red
Hat has since expanded beyond purely selling software to selling
a lot of services, support and engineering services and that sort
of thing, which is really fundamental business, but it's been a
good investment opportunity for me and I hope that each of you all
who are students will listen carefully and participate well and
try to think about how all the different courses at Darden can apply
to your new business ventures and I hope you're even more successful
than Red Hat, but not in software, of course .
Marco
M. Protano: Hello, everyone. Our business is probably the baby
of the group. We actually just launched about a month ago and actually
we're in U.S.A. Today today which is great and Entertainment
Weekly and what we are is CoolAudio is a great opportunity that
actually was started earlier this year, and it basically had grown
out of frustration and not only myself, but a lot of people around
me, and then through some research that we found out that there
a lot of consumers out there who actually were quite frustrated
and had abandoned the home electronics categories, consumer electronics,
and yet it was a time when the digital technology is actually increasing
at its most furious rate and there's actually technology that can
bring better than live entertainment almost, in your home, and so
with a partner actually who's an audiophile and I myself am not
an audiophile. I can barely change the time on my VCR, and decided
that we would actually go into the marketplace and create basically
a retailer on line that would go around the world and actually find
the best of products that we could get exclusivity on as well as
selectivity distribution agreements on, put them on line, and actually
offer the best of customer service that was unparalleled.
This
is sort of the Saturn approach, so if Saturn automobiles was ever
going into consumer electronics, they would be doing what we were
doing, because we patterned our business after them, and to bring
a little bit of excitement and magic back to the entertainment category
in consumer electronics which has been missing over the years, and
to do that all in a forum that was not only on line on the web but
also out in the community because what we heard through all of our
focus groups and interviews that we did around the country, was
that consumers were frightened. Frightened about going into a consumer
electronics store, even more frightened about getting a box into
their home and having to put it together by themselves, and what
we were going to do is actually set up and we have so far set up
an installation and set-up network nationwide as well as dealers,
so it's basically a clicks and bricks strategy that we just launched.
It's
called CoolAudio.com and we're very happy to launch this and actually
it's a great business opportunity where we focus in about four things.
The first is content. Really, we have a mission of educating our
consumers and really providing them with content, branded content,
that we have the best audiovideo writers who are writing in very
much easy-to-understand format. We also have the best of selection.
We're not going to have a wall of TVs. We actually had the best
TVs that are out there or the best of audio products. Service is
also unparalleled, both, before, during, after and beyond. We actually
located our operation here in Virginia because we could be guaranteed
that we could have a great service component as well being out in
the community around the country in 25 major metro markets, but
the most important attribute is simplicity. This is one category
that unlike the computer market where it's getting more technical,
it's actually getting simpler to buy a computer. In audiovideo consumer
electronics, it's getting more complex and it's getting more difficult
to buy and so we bring simplicity to the category and that's one
of our more important attributes.
We're
out there right now going out and raising capital and actually we
have raised $3 million to date and we're actually in a fourth stage
right now with some VC firms and so we are raising our second round
and actually we are-- I guess a couple of lessons that I wanted
to point out is one is to move fast. We thought we were moving incredibly
fast and competitors are coming out of the woodwork on a daily basis
and I think that's very very important and always try to stay one
step ahead. I think it was mentioned in this morning's session about
literally having on the shoes to outrun the person who's in the
tent with you from the bear, but I think it's very important to
actually to, one, not only move fast, but also to join up with competition.
We actually just entered into a few agreements with competition
as well as entered some agreements with people who would partner
with us and open up market opportunities for us, and so right now,
we actually have a business that we're projecting to grow quite
rapidly and we're ramping up. We're New York City-based as well
as Charlottesville-based and we have a great opportunity.
But
I guess in terms of where the Internet is going--this is the question
that was asked--I think I quote an MIT study from MIT Media Labs
is you ain't seen nothing yet and we're gearing up for that and
in terms of one, not only selling low end to mid end high tech but
also merging technology convergence and literally trying to create
a retailing operation where, as our other panelists have noted,
it is quite difficult and there is that whole threat of commodiziation
to fight that threat with building, as Warren Buffet would say,
the moat around the castle as best as you can and we do that on
a daily basis. That's what worries us and keeps us going.
Petty
much in terms of whether the Internet in terms of retailing, I think
it's going to be much more interactive and we're embracing a whole
bunch of that. We have a whole bunch of technology that we've invested
in to make it one-on-one as well as to make it a more of a group
building situation , so that's CoolAudio. Thank you.
Duffus:
I would like to open up Q&A with Patty Sellers, our discussion
leader.
Patricia
Sellers: Thank you. I'm going to ask the same question that
I did in the first group because it yielded some terrific answers
and insights and the question is in trying to attract investors
and Allen and Frank, in your cases, I'd love to know what-- You
can put this in the context of what attracted you to the companies
that you decided to invest in, but what's the smartest thing that
you did in positioning your company to investors and what's the
dumbest thing that you did, the mistake that you made. Doug, Dean,
Marco, for your companies, and Allen and Frank, companies that you
decided to invest in.
Lebda:
I think the probably the dumbest thing I did as I financed the
company was not going to venture capitalists early enough. I think
earlier on in my-- We had a very circuitous route of financing which
I won't go into, but I did not go to value-added venture investors
early enough which I think we have a great lead now. If we had signed
up some of our investors now two years ago I don't even know where
we'd be, but it would be probably much further along, and I think
venture capitalist can add a lot of value if you find the right
partner.
The
smartest thing I think we did was in our last round of financing
where we raised more money that I could've ever thought I would
ever need, The story there is we went to raise a $10 to $15 million
round of financing. Another smart thing we did is we hired an investment
bank to go help us raise which generates a lot more interest and
I would encourage people to do that, but we went out and ended up
with six lead investor term sheets and one of them, a group called
Capital Z Partners that invests only in financial service companies
and really focuses on Internet financial services, basically said
to us, what would it really take you-- Instead of $10 to $15 million,
what would it take for you to own the market and we sat down and
ran some numbers and we said $50 million bucks, and so we took down
$50 million from Capital Z, GE Capital, Goldman Sachs, Priceline,
and Marsh McClennan companies, got a tremendous amount of strategic
value and the best thing is out of the three years that I started
this company, this is the first time that we're not actually out
there constantly trying to raise more money, and I would encourage
anybody who's thinking about a venture, take the amount of money
you think you need, multiply it times 5 or 10, and you're probably
still a little light .
What's
happening is the cost of entry continues to go up, and what I think
is going to happen over time and I think it's already there, is
that Internet companies, the Internet is basically becoming the
medium and it's not necessarily becoming the industry but it's really
just a medium to transact business which means that companies using
the Internet are going to need to be financed like traditional businesses
and to be dominant, you're going to need a tremendous amount of
money to get you there.
Morgan:
I'd say the venture capitalist version of the dumbest thing--
I guess the dumbest thing that we as an industry did was be slow
to recognize the following shift in what makes a great company and
the shift is caused by the Internet. Back to my introductory remarks,
the standard sort of lore of venture capital industry used to be
the three important things when you look at a company--are they
addressing a huge market? Do they have a dynamite team? And do they
have killer defensible technology? That shifts when you talk about
an Internet company, particularly and most noteworthy, when it's
a business to consumer Internet company where the three most important
things to picking the winners are, number one, are they addressing
a huge market? Two, do they have a great team, but third, do they
have an innovative business model that properly leverages the web,
and we and all of our brethren, even on Sandhill Road where the
Internet really started first, certainly in a start-up company anyway,
missed a lot of companies because we had not switched our filters
from huge market, great team, wonderful technology to huge market,
great team, innovative business model.
A final
word on that--today, in general although it's a little bit different
if the company you're backing is an Internet infrastructure company
or a business to business Internet company, but in general, I urge
my companies not to develop any technology internally because so
much technology is now available from third parties and speed--
When I was in college, which was years and years and years ago,
you were told not to do drugs because speed kills. I don't tell
my kids this, but the 1990s version of that is speed thrills, and
if you're developing your own technology, it slows you down and
speed is the ultimate weapon on the Internet.
I suppose
I'm having trouble coming up with the smartest thing we've done.
The smartest thing we've done is probably invest in a number of
great companies that now that we've figured it out, that do address
big markets and have great teams and have innovative business models.
Johnson:
The smartest and dumbest thing I've ever done are sides of the
same coin and that is the staging of investments. At Value America,
had I the opportunity to do it all over again, we would not have
tried to go public quite as quickly as we did. We may have done
a C round of investments which we ended up having to do, because
we tried to go public not this past September but the prior September.
We were out in the public market when there'd been two serious brakes.
The Dow had fallen from 9,000 to about 7,8000. A lot of the wind
was out of the Internet company sails, and really, if we had failed
to go public, we didn't know what was next and we were running out
of money at the same time, but that's another story, so we raised
enough money just to get to the public offering and it wasn't a
luxury of going public. It was a necessity of going public and we
were going public with about a half a billion dollar valuation.
At
the time we went out, the brakes in the market had to pull back
and really nearly went out of business there, but keep in mind that
the other side of it was, it's really smart because we were going
to get a half a million dollar valuation. We were projecting billions
in sales. We had a trailing 12-month sales total of a princely $7.3
million and we were going to get a $500 million market cap out there.
That's a huge carrot, but the problem is that once you are public,
you on a treadmill of Street expectations and also in a rapidly
growing company, our infrastructure was not up to the task. We came
within a hair's breadth of getting a reportable condition from our
auditors and that was a risk that would have cratered the company,
so on the one hand, you've got this huge carrot out there, but you're
walking a very fine line between going fast and going way too fast
in a very tangible way.
Batten:
I guess I'll answer that maybe as I would guess that the founders
of Red Hat would answer if they were here based on the things I've
talked about. I think one thing that they were smart to do has been
to get investors who really understood their business model and
believed in their business model, especially since open source is--
Most people just don't understand it, and it's just hard to understand
unless you really sort of think about it a while. It's not sort
of on the surface understandable and I many of the people who've
come in, either as managers or investors and other open source companies
are always sort of trying to push these companies toward the proprietary
software model. Do open source plus proprietary and that sort of
thing, and my role in the company was to-- Fortunately the founders
never wanted to do this, but my role in the company was to sort
of lay down in front of that train if anyone ever tried to let the
company deviate at all from the open source model, and I remember
the founders saying they'd go back after meetings with me sort of
amazed that not only was I not trying to push them proprietary.
The only reason I was even interested in that was because it's open
source.
Same
when Benchmark came in an investor. Benchmark and Gray Lot, two
venture firms, came in summer of '98 as investors, and Red Hat didn't
go to them. Actually, they came knocking on Red Hat's doors because
Kevin Harvey at Benchmark really believed in the open source model
and understood it and that sort of thing, so I guess I would say--
And, at the time, incidentally, Red Hat weighed as an alternative
to the venture people was sort of doing one of these-- Wanted the
investment banks to get private equity from a bunch of basically
passive investors, and I think it's been really helpful to the company
to have people who not only understood the business model but were
really committed it and didn't sort of try to take the company off
course. Fortunately Red Hat, everything's gone well, so I don't
know. There haven't been any sort of serious mistakes or problems.
Protano:
I guess one of the smartest thing that we did early on was to
really latch onto strategic investors who were friendly, who were
well connected, who were from both within the industry and outside,
who could really open a lot of doors, who could also be great mentors,
who could really help us grow the business and get it from a concept
stage to first and second phase, but I also think that one of the
things that we probably should've done earlier on was to really
approach the venture capital community much sooner and to do that
quite rapidly. Not that we're running out of money and one of the
things that I've learned is that financing is a never-ending process
and that you go from one phase to another and I think that was probably
the other thing that I learned.
Audience
question: My question to you guys is if you could give us your
view of the advantages and disadvantages of starting financing and
building a company in a town like Charlottesville that's off the
beaten path versus in a major area such as New York or San Francisco
where surrounded by potential strategic partners as well as you're
in the backyards of most of the venture capital funds.
Morgan:
I'm happy to lead off because we face that question all the
time. It's a tension and there's no right answer. In my neck of
the woods, the pluses are you have access to an incredibly deep
and rich infrastructure from hundreds of venture capital firms to
experienced law firms, experienced accounting firms, banks that
are used to dealing with companies that aren't going to earn money
for a long time, banks that are willing to give you better terms
if you'll give them equity, where every place you go you have to
be careful about discussing your business plan because the people
at the next table are probably planning a competing business, but
that provides a richness and sort of an ecosystem in which it's
very easy to start a business, very easy to hook up with people
who understand how to help you grow your business.
The
minuses are it's expensive because it's become an attractive place
to live. That is most relevant for those of you who've started your
companies because it costs a lot of money to hire and/or relocate
people to the Bay area. The best thing about the Bay area and then
I'll flip over and talk about other areas, however, is not cost
of living, not having experienced people around you, but really
the ethos of the place where failure is only failure if you didn't
try. It's not failure just because you didn't succeed. Scott McNeely
who has one of the best speech writers-- He's the chairman and CEO
of Sun Microsystems, has, I think the best speech writer I know
of a technology CEO, and he has a saying that the great thing about
Silicon Valley is it's not whether you go off the cliff or not.
It's how close to the edge your skid marks start . The upside of
a place like Charlottesville or for us, we've made, unusually for
us, five investments in Northern Virginia in the last 10 months,
is just really the flip side of all of that. It's easier to be a
big fish in a small pond. Cost of living and acquiring and retaining
employees tends to be lower.
Another
sort of atmospheric kind of factor--employee loyalty tends to be
higher. Where I live, people switch jobs twice, three times in a
year if they get a better job offer or they think a company's hotter
and you don't find that so much here. The downside side you don't
have the infrastructure as well developed and you don't have the
(it's our view anyway) you don't yet have the view of people in
the sort of environment that it's okay to fail. The only failure
is not to try at all or not to try hard enough.
Johnson:
From the bank's perspective, it's a negative. People around
here, it's small town banking and they want asset-based loans. From
angels, I think there're a lot of money folks here who would be
interested in participating in the Internet just in a small way.
Maybe through you and the venture capitals, I think there's a certain
snobbishness with all due respect, that you're outside of an urban
area.
______________:
Don't say that to me.
Johnson:
Yeah, what can you-- You're outside of an urban area. What can
you know? What kind of cross-pollination can you really have on
your business plan and your contacts? I know, I just flipping through
my business cards here and I didn't see anybody from Charlottesville
and I'm thinking to myself, wow, this is a great opportunity to
do some networking and would've have the opportunity to if I just
stayed in Charlottesville, although in Charlottesville I think you
do have the patience. You can develop a little bit a more patience.
You have time to kind of work through your things. I've worked in
the Silicon Valley and everything proceeded at a frenetic pace,
not just a quick pace, and sometimes it seems a bit scattered and
for people resources, I think it's a plus and a minus. It depends
on what you need. If you need programmers, you can get them as long
as you can pay them to keep them, but if you need English majors,
we've got them in abundance and they're quite happy for the wages.
Lebda:
Lending Tree is actually headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina,
so I know this very well, and when I was deciding where to go to
locate the company, I really looked at a number of factors and Charlotte
actually popped out as number one. What we were looking for were
things like a low cost of living, highly educated work force, good
climate, good business climates. Banking and finance was important
to us and B of A and then First Union being there were key, but
really, the advantages as I've come to realize since we've been
there are the fact that we can really hire top talent because we
are a big fish in a small pond, so if you are in the southeast and
you want to work at an Internet company and you're in the city of
Charlotte, there's only a couple options so we can hire literally
the best people out of each of the companies around there and they
want to come work for us. You can also do it at a lower cost which
I think is key.
The
biggest advantage though is I think outside of some of the other
major Internet areas, you can build a more unique and I think a
more sustainable culture. You can actually do something different.
You can have employees coalesce because you have turnover that's
less than 3% a year, and you can create something that I think is
a little more unique and a little more sustainable over the long
term.
The
downside is it takes longer to get it going. You can't find people
who necessarily get it right away, whereas if you were in San Francisco,
everybody knows what stock options are and they know if you're in
your second round of financing and your valuation is this, you deserve
a quarter point in options and they know exactly what to ask for,
and they know more about option investing periods than you do, and
we've actually had to educate our people about what stock options
mean and the reasons that they're important, so the downside is
it's a little harder to get it going but once it does, I think it's
a plus.
Batten:
Red Hat is in Durham, North Carolina and I would say it's cut
both ways. Fortunately, unlike Charlottesville, North Carolina State
is a land grant university. It turns out a lot of UNIX developers,
so there're a lot of sort of people to do the development work that
just naturally come out of N.C. State or one of the other universities
there. Interestingly though, when Red Hat was sort of trying to
get its portal strategy cranked up, it could not find enough HTML
programmers and people really good web site builders so it actually
went to San Francisco, bought a web site design firm. The design
firm basically fired all their customers and that was a way to sort
of overnight get 30 employees, so I guess it's a way to-- I think
you can base a company outside of Silicon Valley or Boston but probably
have to be flexible if there're certain skills you need. You may
actually have to go to those sort of areas.
Protano:
In terms of CoolAudio, we looked at both Charlottesville and
urban areas and actually we settled on both, settled on both Charlottesville
and urban and it really provides to us the urban landscape and New
York City, for example, provides great success and Silicon Alley
to the resources, financial marketing and retailing as well as to
the audio video world. In terms of Charlottesville, it gives us
incredible operating efficiencies and effectiveness for our call
center as well as warehousing and fulfillment. A little bit more
in terms of where to locate a company and just being in a venture
capital financing mode right now, is the inherent somewhat bias
of being an east coast-based company versus a west coast, in that
we've heard from some venture capital firms that there is that bias
of just looking at west coast deals versus east coast deals, and
so that's a very interesting paradigm in terms of which coast would
you locate your business.
Audience
question: Another question. Dean actually brought up the topic
earlier and that is the timing of when to go public. How do you
make that decision? What are some of the things going on because
everybody's very anxious [to go Internet] and they're anxious to
go public right away, but you've also got the strategic decision
to try to make--do I expand the product or do I expand the target
market to give you that best __________.
Johnson:
In our case, and you're talking to the CFO now of a company,
and I'll take it from there, you need to ask yourself the central
question--can I sustain what it takes to be a highly valued public
company after I go public. Do I have the systems? Do I have products
coming to market in the right order? The last thing you do is want
a swoon in revenues or in some way have your system crash. You can
log on Yahoo! and find out how long Toys 'R Us was down or the outage
at Amazon or goodness knows what happens at eBay and so the question
for us was were we sufficiently developed as a company organizationally
and the ability to deliver our market expectations to do that. My
humble estimation was that no, we weren't, and luckily, in a perverse
way, the market crapped out on us and prevented us from going out
again, allowing us to regroup and then go out, but I'll tell you,
if you drew a graph of Value America's value over time, it spikes
up at every IPO attempt and when we went out in April, it was a
billion dollars, and we'd just done a round of financing prior to
that at a valuation of (I'll pick a number) $340 million-- Astronomical
numbers but still 3x what you're prepared to get in the public,
so you're kind of-- The carrot as I said earlier is so big and it
is such cheap money you almost feel derelict tin your duties if
you don't go after that.
Batten:
I would say I think there's a real power, especially if you're
the leader or have reasonable hopes of being the leader in your
category, however you define your category. I think there's real
power in being first out, just because the IPO is a branding and
marketing event. I think eBay would've been successful even as a
private company, but certainly they got a lot of leverage from just
all the free marketing that they got from the IPO, not even anything
to do with the actual cash they got, and really sort of defined
them as their type of auction company.
Lebda:
I think the key is to really prepare the-- Go as soon as you
can after your company's infrastructure is really prepared for an
IPO and by preparations, really you need a different level of sort
of legal support, different level of accounting and finance and
a lot of start-ups just aren't ready for that and you really most
importantly need to have an infrastructure where you actually know
you have such control and knowledge over your numbers that you know
exactly what's going to happen based on where the market goes so
you can meet expectations. Fortunately, at our company, we have
some just very very good finance people and some financial modeling
folks that are wonderful at knowing based on whatever happens how
short or over we are going to be with our projections three months
out and then we can always be adjusting so we're never looking back.
We're always looking forward and then as soon you can have the infrastructure
prepared, and I think it's good to do that early and I would encourage
anybody who's starting a company to do all your corporate clean
up ahead of time so that you don't need to do that so you're actually
ready to go.
Then
it's market timing and first mover and the key is you want to be
able to go at a moment's notice. It is truly like the Minute Men.
When the window's open, it's open and when it's shut, it is truly
shut and you need to be able to jump at an opportunity and also
make sure that you're out first.
Sellers:
Very much related to this, Fortune has a story in the
November 8th issue. It's called "Born to be Bought," and it's about
this sort of increase in what we call designer start-ups and I'm
curious about Allen's opinion of this, whether he sees an increase
in this, but it's basically these sort of swaggering entrepreneurs
who may deny that that is their purpose in life, to be bought. Sort
of the more impressive thing to do is do a multi-billion dollar
IPO or an IPO that gets the company valued at a billion dollars
plus, but more and more entrepreneurs are deciding that's really
a major long-term bet and the safer way, the better short-term play,
is to just sort of design a product or an Internet feature, pose
it as a company, and sell it to Yahoo! or sell it to Amazon in a
year. I'm curious--are you seeing more of that and does that involve
a different kind of strategy and business building strategy in order
to do that?
Morgan:
I guess my answer to that is a little bit round about. In the
good old days I referred to my introductory remarks, it was easier
for venture capitalists to have a sense that somebody's business
plan was what we would call a product and not a company, because
technologies didn't change, technologies changed more slowly but
markets really changed more slowly. What's happened in the Internet
is if you think about the beginning of the Internet for purposes
of this discussion as being Netscape's IPO, there's been sort of
a compressed evolution of a global marketplace in a time frame that
none of us could have imagined, and so that you have companies like
AOL which they think about 30 or 40% of the Internet goes through
AOL.
I was
at a meeting at one of the big co-hosting sites Exodus. It shows
how many different ways you can measure traffic but they have about
40% of the world's web traffic run through their data centers. You
get players that have gone from start-ups to market domination in
that short a period of time, it's very hard as those of you in the
audience who are business schools students and trying to pass your
strategy course, to figure out where the market is going to be or
figure what place your idea will have on a market that changes daily,
and so, again, as investors, we look at companies that we think
are addressing big markets, have great teams, and have innovative
business models.
Some
of those companies that we think could be large, independent, free-standing
companies, it turns out that Yahoo! buys your major competitor and
you don't have the choice any more of sort of meandering along on
Internet time building an independent company, you've got now a
much more limited sort of menu to choose from and a lot of the choices
on that menu are hooking up with Lycos or Excite@Home or AOL. We
don't fund companies that are designer start-ups because it tends
to make the wrong mindset. What we find in our practices that the
market just moves so rapidly because there are already a number
of just very large players in it that can totally alter the marketplace
and yesterday you would have had an independent strategy and today
you just don't.
Batten:
I think for the companies that are actual creators of technology
rather than just users of technology, in many cases it's more logical
for them to create a great technology and sell it to Sysco, someone
who already has a wonderful brand name and sales engine and that
sort of thing rather than developing all that themselves. I think
for the companies that are more user of technologies, there's more
of a choice there.
Duffus:
We're going to have to break for questions from the McIntire
School. We're going to utilize our technology.
McIntire
School audience question: A recurring theme that we've been
hearing from a lot of different speakers and panelists is that in
order for a company to be successful, you need to find and retain
good employees. I believe Allen said that one of the three criteria
that you look at is a great team. My question is from a start-up
company, where do you go and what method do you use to find and
put together the teams for your companies.
Morgan:
It's the hardest thing we do, and it depends on where the company
is located and it depends on whether you're hiring the CEO or a
VP in charge of an important business function, or you're hiring
people farther down in the organization. At the senior levels, the
job is still by and large done in two ways. You either hire a head
hunter to do it or you use your own network, referring to your firm's
network of candidates. In our practice, it's probably 60/40; in
60% of the cases where we're the lead investor, a CEO or very senior
person will be found through a headhunter and in 40%, it's somebody
we knew who because of our part of our job is networking, is either
ready to leave their company or their company got sold or they had
had a successful company and they've taken their six months off
to travel to Italy and they're back ready to re-enter the fray.
Farther
down in the organization, it's a big problem in Silicon Valley.
True to Silicon Valley form, we're now seeing a number of business
plans by .com companies that are trying to outsource the entire
hiring function for companies, but the labor shortage in the Bay
area and the traffic, are the two biggest impediments to growth
right now.
Lebda:
I would add that-- I would just say if you're starting up, probably
the best source of talent are people that you know, really smart
people generally know other really smart people and hopefully people
who are smarter than yourselves that can actually make your business
better, so I would encourage the first thing you do is you look
around and you see who is, for example, for me it was Reddin Bouser
who was a great marketer who was actually in my study group here
at Darden who we convinced to come onboard very early. We needed
a great numbers guy. We hired another Darden guy who was also in
our class, so your friends and people that you know in your internal
network, I think, are the best place to go.
Once
you get a little further down the line, I would just echo the tremendous
value of the retained search firms. We've just started using them
recently and I'll tell you, it is, again, as far as the service
they provide and the ability for them to go out and really find
top talent out of industry. It costs you a lot of money. They get
paid very well for what they do, but they can really find great
people and they also undertake the whole process, so you don't need
to screen 300 people to find the three top candidates.
Johnson:
I don't want to repeat anything that's said here. What I would
add is in addition to getting them, you've got to keep them, and
people come and go for money, for stock options, and all that stuff.
What they stay for is a tremendous work environment and you need
to create that, and for interesting and rewarding work. At Value
America in the last six months we put in SAP which is the big enterprise
resource planning program and [CEBOL] which is a customer manager
system in six months which is a Herculean achievement by our technology
team and one guy registered 17 all nighters in the month of July
and we're not paying these guys more than they could earn anywhere
else at any other technology company in Charlottesville, but they
had the opportunity to do something truly, in their view, monumental
with all the best hardware and they had the best software and that,
for them, is an example of terrifically interesting work.
Morgan:
Could I get their names? There's a great article and I apologize
to Fortune because I think it was in the Wall Street Journal
a week or so ago in the marketing section about hiring and start-ups
and the piece was mainly on, and I don't remember the name of the
company, about how the CEO of the company was basically spending
all of his time recruiting. On the interactive edition, and there
must be archives that you can go search, but it was about a week
ago and I think it was on page B-1.
Duffus:
We have time for one more question at the McIntire School.
McIntire
School audience question: Thank you for speaking today. My question
is we hear a lot about the successes of the Internet business. I'd
like to hear from the venture capitalists on the panel, could you
speak a little bit about the failures that you've invested in and
the core reasons for their failures, internal reasons. Thank you.
______________:
How long do you have?
Audience:
As long it takes.
Morgan:
Let me try to answer the question like this. What are the leading
causes of death for start-ups? I would say that the leading cause
of death today is the inability of companies to manage growth and
it is a sort of a bargain with the devil that a couple of my co-panelists
have mentioned here because you can't afford not to grow at hyper
speed but you also can't afford not to manage your growth, and most
of the car crashes that you see in Internet start-up world are that
somebody forgot because they were up all night 17 nights in row
in July to tighten the lug nuts on the wheels, and so when the car
started and got back up to 100 miles all four wheels came off and
the car spins out of control. It is a long discussion but I would
say the inability-- I mean, when God created the Internet, unfortunately
she didn't create a thousand times more experienced senior management
teams who could manage hyper growth and having witnessed people
do it well and people do it poorly, it's one of the harder things
to do in the world.
Batten:
I'd cite one example of a company where we poured $20 million
down a hole and nothing to show for it, and it was really-- I just
made a bad judgment about the abilities of the manager, of the president,
of that company. He had, it turned out poor business judgement.
He sort of liked every opportunity he saw and had very little focus.
Just could not focus on doing one thing well, and so that sort of
certainly made an impression on me that. Since I lost $20 million
on him, I've seen lots of people like him and I haven't lost any
money on them, so I haven't given them any.
Duffus:
Before we close today, I'd like to do a few things. First, I'd
like to thank all of our sponsors at the e-Summit--Fortune Magazine
and PricewaterhouseCoopers as well as every one else that was very
instrumental in making this happen. I would like everybody to lead
in a round of applause and then finally, I think that we should
give our panelists a warm round of applause as well for their generously
donating their time to us today to inform us on the opportunities
that lay ahead.
Then,
as a small token of Darden's appreciation for your time, I think
Thomas Jefferson may have written with these things. These are official
Thomas Jefferson pen and inkwell sets with goosefeather pens--kind
of ironic for all you folks in the digital age , and then, finally,
I guess, please everyone attend the cyber cafe upstairs where you'll
be able to talk to a number of distinguished guests from the Darden
School that will be available to talk as well as some of our panelists,
and then thank you very much for coming out today and I hope this
is only the beginning.
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