| John
P. O'Connell, Ph. D.
Chair, U.Va. Department of Chemical Engineering
University of Virginia
"On the Nature and Conduct of Technical Research"
September 6, 2001
John
O'Connell: So, what is research? Well, what do you do when you want
to know a definition? You go to the Oxford Unabridged Dictionary:
Research:
A research or investigation directed to the discovery of some fact
by careful consideration and studying of the subject by close and
scientific inquiry.
That's
kind of dry. Would you be inspired to do research like that? I don't
think so. But, the Oxford Unabridged also has quotes of the usage
of the words.
The
matter that lies deep in nature requires much research to unfolding.
-- William Older, 1694
Our
most profound researches are frequently nothing better than guessing
at the causes of the phenomenon.
Guessing?
That's 1799. Are we any better off these days? Well, we like to
think that we are not "guessing" in the sense they might have been
implying. Scientific truth is not fixed in universal; one of things
you have to realize is that there is an evolution, just like the
issue of what was guessing then and what is guessing now. Even what
we call the scientific method, in fact, does evolve. Something really
does seem to attract people all over the world, whether poor or
rich, to seek, observe and develop new ideas for describing the
physical, chemical, biological, an d social worlds more accurately
and completely.
One
of the things I have been fascinated with as I travel around the
world is the diversity of people who say, "I must do this," it is
sort of like art--the starving artist starves because the artist
has to do art--that is just who they are. The same thing happens
in terms of scientists and engineers, interestingly enough. So,
why do people do it? The upside is they like it and they consider
it exciting and fun and you get success, there are personal and
communal triumphs, it stimulates challenging assumptions, relative
freedom and responsibility. The results can positively affect the
quality of life. Of course, if there is an upside, there is always
a downside. The downside is the failure of the experiment. The failure
of hypothesis--you make a guess and guess what? You are wrong. There
are disagreements, also. Arguing can be fun, depending on the personality,
but there can be a downside, also. There are also disagreements
in interpretations and priorities. Maybe it is just a lottery. The
state lottery for scientists only--the grand prize is the new paradigm!
Second prize is major discovery, third prize is a minor discovery,
fourth prize is a minor discovery, and fifth prize is a viable hypothesis.
But, everybody can get a prize! Not everybody can get a Nobel prize,
right? But, people who do ordinary science, as it is called, get
rewarded as well about the things that are on the upside. It is
not always this positive. Science is a human process and it is never
perfect. Murphy's Law, the original law that if something can go
wrong, it will, it does.
This
is one of my favorite quotes:
"The
subtlety of Nature, secret recesses of truth, obscurity of things,
difficulty of experiment, implication of cause and the infirmity
of man's discerning power, [will make it so that] men are no longer
excited, either out of desire or hope, to penetrate farther." --
Sir Francis Bacon
So,
it turns out that there are more downs than ups to research. So,
if you are going to make a career of it, the ups better be pretty
good for you.
Who
should do research? A set of books were written about this and they
actually give a set of questions which you can ask, and depending
upon your answer, you can figure if this is the way you really are
or not. So, this is the personal traits, also, of those with likely
success in research, whether you are talking Nobel prizes or ordinary
science--the lottery prizes.
One
of the quotes is, "scientists are people of very dissimilar temperaments
doing different things in very different ways." That is the richness
of research, fortunately. Among scientists are collectors, classifiers
and compulsive "tidier-up." Many are just detectives, explorers,
artists, and artisans. There are poet scientists, philosopher scientists,
and even a few mystics. Don't forget the modelers. In fact, that
is a lot of what we have as our business. And people might say,
"is this legitimate, is this good science or research?" I would
argue yes, because successful models do advance knowledge and practice
by showing the essence of a behavior. We can't figure out how to
do everything in nature completely because we are just humans and
we have limited resources. And so, the models will show the essence
of what is going on and then we can use this to predict might happen.
So, they provide an understanding of the relative importance among
many contributions of a complex situation and a reliable basis to
implement the use of them. That is why engineers tend to use models
actually more than scientists do. We use them more openly and unabashedly,
I think, than scientists do.
How
does one do research? Wilson and Booth's books are actually sort
of like manuals of investigation whereas the book by Oliver is more
philosophical and attitudinal. Let me show you the tables of contents,
for example. This is from 1952, and the recipe to follow.
Also,
Olivers book: The Incomplete Guide to The Art of Discovery
is about discoveries, strategies, tactics, the personal traits and
attitudes of discoverers, certain caveats, a few views and comments
on science and the inside story of one discovery.
The
young workers need to realize and understand that it is okay not
to understand everythingyou are on a journey. In fact, research
is a game unlike class. Remember the game in class is that the teacher
pretends to know everything and the students game is to find
out what the teacher knows. It turns out in research that no one
knows the answer. So, you cant expect to understand everything
as you go along because that is what you are trying to find out.
It is actually better, sometimes, to be wrong. A certain philosophy
of science is that you do the best you can, expecting it is not
going to be completed perfect, put it out there, and let people
chew on it. Progress will alleviate because they will get inspired
to say, "I know that is wrong. What is right?"
The
social foundation of research is that it is not the popular stereotype
of a lonely, isolated search for truth. It used to be that way,
but it is not that way anymore. We have to do it with other people
and use the literature (which is huge), and we are doing collaborations
which are becoming much more of the mode of operation. It inevitably
takes place within a broad, social and historical context, which
gives substance, direction and ultimate meaning to the work of individuals.
So, individuals have to be part of a team, part of a community,
in order to nowadays get the substance of direction and meaning.
An
individuals knowledge properly enters the domain of science
only after it is presented to others so that they can independently
judge the validitythat is the scientific method. You do the
best you can; you put it out there, and people figure out whether
you are right or not by validating it separate from you. Part of
what you had to do was to help that process. So, proper presentations
turn out to be in conversations, computer mail, meeting presentations,
manuscripts that are reviewed before publication and published papers.
The process of review and revision is critical because it minimizes
the influence of individual subjectivity by requiring the research
and results to be accepted by other scientists. We easily fool ourselves
into thinking that we have it all rightagain, a problem we
have as humans. The scientific method, unlike the part of all others,
we actually put it all out there and accept criticism and review.
Most workers that I know will say that a paper that was finally
published is much better after review than it was before.
It
is also a powerful inducement for researchers to be critical of
their own conclusions because they know they must try to convince
their colleagues. So, what you should do, according to Michael Brown,
is take a very possible way to shoot down your own idea before you
begin to accept it. You should be self-critical, as much as possible.
That is kind of frustrating, and it can be kind of a downer because,
sometimes, after you go through this, you say, "uh-oh, I was wrong
after all." But, on the other hand, you know something, and then
you can make progress out of it. So, science has progressed through
a uniquely productive marriage of human creativity and hard-nosed
skepticism, of openness to new contributions and persistent questioning
of these contributions and the existing consensus. The productive
marriage is the difference back and forth about doing something
and then looking at it harshly, and then going back and doing it
again. The process of evaluation has evolved as knowledge and techniquesthe
way I review my papers now is thought different from when I started,
particularly because we have computational tools available to us.
Someone comes out with a model that fits everything and it has a
database. It takes a lot of work to do this, but that is the kind
of thing we can do more easily these days.
What
problems are encountered? If we are trying to find the truth through
our empirical validation, we do this with data and in some sense,
simulation. If it were easy and fun, everyone would do it, right?
Here is "pseudo-science incorporated!" That is the nice thing about
working in this placewe dont have to finish any of our
experiments. Wouldnt it be neat if we just did something and
said, "Yeah, there it is"?
Then,
we could ask if we have to do this or that measurement. Well, lets
go back to history:
"To
learn secrets of nature, we must first observe." Francis Bacon
"Developing
theories without data is like making bricks without clay."
-Sherlock
Holmes
"Speak
(listen) to the Earth and it shall teach thee." Job12: 8
Experiment
and data treatment are tough, but crucial to establishing scientific
truth. So, we must utilize experiments effectively. We have to figure
out how we do the minimum experiment and still get the information
that leads us on. Data are fallible. We have to maximize the truth
by examining and validating all the data with organized, searching
skepticism. It is the same thing as we discussed beforeyou
analyze it skeptically in terms of what you have. It may be less
or it may be more than meets your eye. Lets look at some cases.
Lord
Rayley (?) discovered argon. How he did this was he noticed that
the density of the gas, which was thought to be nitrogen (after
which it absorbed the oxygen from there), was different than if
you took a chemical reaction and generated nitrogen. He realized
that there was more than just nitrogen and oxygen in there. That
had to be pretty subtle to figure that out, but that was how he
did it.
Galileo,
in 1613, actually suggested that the Planet Neptune existed, even
though it could not be seen. He actually made a drawing and ignored
it. So, it took another two hundred and thirty-four years before
people could say that Neptune existed. What a shamehe wasnt
paying enough attention. Or, maybe he did not have that driving
force to alter the data again.
Mick
Elson, who did the oil-drop experiment to determine the electron
charge and so forth, decided, in advance, that electrons came only
in integer values (1, 2, 3, 4, and so forth). It turned out there
was a whole bunch of data that had only one third the values and
he threw them out. It turned out that actually quarks would be ones
that would do that, and he just missed that.
If
you want to look at ways between measured value, you can look at
Wilson. There is a long chapter about this. There are limitations,
techniques, and equipment that will cause uncertain values and error
bounds. We always have to recognize this. No experiment is perfect.
As many of you have found, or will find, when you take an oral exam
with the faculty, our faculty is particularly interested in when
a student makes a plot and there are data points. Someone will say
that there is uncertainty in those numbers and that they are not
very happy when students do not have an answer to that question.
There
is incomplete communication and measurement condition in analysis.
One of the most frustrating things to encounter when you are doing
an experiment or when you are trying to reproduce what someone else
has done is that they do not tell you everything. It is very hard
to figure out how to communicate, but that is our job. We want to
make sure that we help the process of independent verification.
Rejection
and retention of data pointswhat do we do about those out-lyers?
Is there reality in them? How does one figure this out? These are
the kinds of questions that Wilson considers. What is considered
a good fit of a model, and would you stake your job on that?
(Showing
graph) When data doesnt tell us enough on its own, I change
it. I have done three things, here, which have helped me decide
that this is the way it has to be. One thing is that I happen to
know that y=0 when x=0. That wasnt on the plot, but it is
a validated and anchored point. The second one is that we look at
the fact that some theory will say that this is in a linear region.
That may or may not be true and you may or may not know that. But,
lets say that it is polynomial in form, and so we are only
in a linear region. The last thing is we ask if that is consistent
with the data, and this is where we put in the uncertainties. We
would say, on the basis of the presentation of this plot, that this
is the best that we could do because it has to do this and this.
It is not inconsistent with the data, but still, this is the perspective
that I want you to get.
"I
have never made a contribution that I didnt get by fiddling
with the equations."
-Linus
Pawling quoting physicist
"I
have never made a contribution that I didnt get by just having
a new idea. Then, I would fiddle with the equations to help support
it."
-Linus
Pawling
Fiddling
was probably the dominant mode of quantitative exploration until
computers came along and allowed us to make big discoveries. So,
lets talk about computation and research. Computers allow
us to do simulation imaging and synthesis in ways that we could
never do before. Now in our research repertoire, it is pushing us
into quantitative descriptions of nature which allow us to examine
multitudes of data and models, creating images at distance and time
scales that one cannot even do experimentally.
Are
there issues in simulation? Of course there are. How good are the
computer results? Are they qualitative, reliable, and accurate?
What are the error bounds? We have to validate simulations in the
same way we validate experimentswe have to be aware of sensitivity,
assumptions, sampling, coding errors and significant figures. Validation
of something that you are calculating about nature should be compared
with real experiments. This is not always easy because the results
are not always put in a form that the simulation gives. But the
job of an experimentalist is to put it in a form that the simulators
can check out. And, the job of a simulator is to put it in a form
that the experimentalist can check out. That is where the meeting
comes together. We have, at least, our fools and scoundrels in simulations.
Simulation is very seductive, but, like most things, seductive is
not necessarily wholesome.
This
is from Hans Christian Anderson who is a chemist at Stanford--not
the original:
"Machines
should work, people should think."
I often
tell students that if they think that their job is to reproduce
what a computer does they can be replaced by a computer, and they
will be. On the other hand, guys play games, like, "I am a molecule
or two away from the finished formula, chemicals in ways that my
computer never dreamed of." That is righta computer only does
what you tell it. Nature is generally richer. What you figure out
is that, if nature does this, can a computer do it?
What
kinds of problems are accounted in the human issues? First off,
there is this issue of selecting the best hypothesis. Galileo had
two opportunities: he could have said that they fell at the same
rate or at different rates. So, he picked one. There are many competing
hypotheses and we have to figure out which ones to proceed with.
What you want is a hypothesis that shows internal consistency, has
accurate correlation and prediction of experimental data, and unifies,
if at all possible, the apparently disparate results. People cant
see the connection and your job is to show them how they connecta
major contribution. Our your instincts and experience going to give
you progress on this? Part of your education is to, in fact, hone
your instincts, skills and experience so that you have a better
batting average when you get to making advances. You should have
a desire for truth, beauty and quality. That is the way that life
should be lived, in my own opinion, so here is the opportunity to
do it. One of Murphys Laws is that assumption is the mother
of all screw-ups. You need to know what you have assumed so that
you can minimize the chance of screwing up. Does that help or hinder
things in terms of assumption? Assumptions about things that do
not matter are fineit doesnt matter. On the other hand,
with things that do matter, you could get in trouble if you perceive
the wrong thing.
There
is also the issue of ethics. Human issues have caused questioning
and threatening in the U.S. scientific enterprise. I first got into
this because there were a couple of publications, one that came
out called, On Being A Scientist: The Responsible Conduct in
Research. The reason this came out was because there were a
number of incidents in which people either published things wrongly,
or they would publish in the newspaper, and then when it went up
for journal review, it turned out they were not wrong. At this point
we were asking how much money we should be putting in to the research
enterprise. Of course, people said that they did not want to put
it into that kind of thing. Congress got involved and investigated
it. The U.S. scientific enterprise was sick. We dont hear
that so much now. I dont know if that is because we are richer
now, or if people do not care now or what. I expect it to come back.
Most of the problems that arise are human issues. How do the values
of science get understood, particularly in practice, in the face
of the inevitable conflicts of value. There are things that we have
that are precious that are put upon us. The main thing is that it
brings the irrationalities. Research is supposed to avoid irrationalities!
Therefore, it is sort of ironic that this is the problem, but that
is again because we are humans and we just have to accept that.
Normally,
in chemical engineer research programs, this is not a problem. But,
I will also comment that you and I have both professional and civic
responsibilities to deal with such issues, even if people close
to us are not involved.
What
are the conflicts?
- One
is the personal interestfinancial involvement, confidential
knowledge and so forth. Everyone signs a form that says that they
do not have any conflict in research.
- Publications
and openness: There are false claims of discovery, commercial
proprietary secrets, multiple publication of the same work, many
short papers
If
a faculty member is coming up for a promotion in tenure, one of
the things that is easy to do is to count publications. This is
dreadful. You dont count things and decide if it is good enough
or not. So, there is a tendency of a lot of professors under pressure
to write a lot of short papers. It is not the right thing to do,
but that is what happens.
We
have to avoid that. There is often a tendency to think, "well, I
did that," and ignore what someone else might have had as an influence.
You want to give credit because you might be on the other side sometime.
There
are errors in negligence in standards of quality and sloppiness.
We have to rush through if we have a two-year grant. Students are
under the pressure of writing out the results so that they can get
into the papers or if there is a meeting coming and they have to
make a presentation. What does that breed? It often breeds sloppiness.
Then the reading can get badyou can have misconduct and deception,
fabricate data, falsify the results, plagiarism, cover-ups, malicious
allegations, and due process violations. These are all listed in
the publication.
So,
what do we do about these kinds of problems? I happen to live by
this Murphys Law:
Do
not ascribe to maliciousness what can be ascribed to incompetence,
ignorance, and insensibility. While, sometimes, bad things are intended,
mostly they are not.
You
tend to be more patient and forgiving about what might be happening,
but that does not mean that you dont confront the problems
that are coming from this, it just simply says, "what are the motivations
for those?" So, what are we going to do? First of all we have to
be aware of what we are getting into in this business. It is going
to happen. We have to have our own sense of values established and
our priorities. We have to know what is most important to us so
that when someone asks us what we think about something, we actually
have an answer. Only the prepared mind and spirit can stand the
pressures that can arise.
A quote
from Alan Weinburg, who is an eminent physicist:
A sense
of responsibility is a trait that I would put at the top. A scientist
can be brilliant, imaginative, clever, profound, broad, narrow,
but he is not much of a scientist unless he is responsible.
What
that means is that he accepts the idea that he has to follow with
the rules, that he wants to get into the spirit of how research
is done. If you dont do that, you can be all those things
and it isnt important to someone like Weinberg.
We
cannot tolerate, much less support, sub-standard conduct, especially
unethical behavior.
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